Matthew Goss wins Stage 1 of the 2011 Santos Down Under. Photo by Morne de Klerk, Getty Images Sport
Remember when the Santos Tour Down Under used to be a nice, relaxed start to the season? In the years since it was incorporated into the ProTour (and then World Tour) calendars, stage and overall wins have become more and more important to teams in order to secure the coveted points used to justify top-tier status (and to get good follow car placement in the classics). As more top-tier riders come, it has also turned into a chance for sprinters to draw the first blood from their opponents - remember all the pre-race hype about last year's showdown between Mark Cavendish and Andrei Griepel in their first race on opposing teams?
This year's TDU takes on special significance, though - at least for one team. Green Edge Cycling, the first Pro Team level team to come out of Australia, is making its debut. Green Edge has raced already this year in the Bay Crit Series and Australian National Championships races, securing national championships in the Elite Women's road race, criterium, and time trial along with the Elite Men's road race and time trial. However, those were more a "soft" start to the season; after all, Green Edge had a seemingly superfluous 17 riders in the national championships road race. This week, global attention turns towards Adelaide for the first real evaluations of Green Edge.

With such scrutiny on Green Edge as they enter their first World Tour race, one may expect them to bring a star-stacked roster in an attempt to make sure that plans A, B, and C bring in results. And bring a heavyweight roster they did:
Cameron Meyer
Matthew Goss
Robbie McEwen
Luke Durbridge
Simon Gerrans
Stuart O'Grady
Leigh Howard
Every one of the riders on this roster has impressive results in the past and, often, a strong record at prior editions of the TDU. Cameron Meyer is your defending champion and an excellent time trialist, though he is unlikely to manage a repeat victory as his main time gains came in a rare successful breakaway on the fourth stage last year. Not content with bringing only last year's winner, Green Edge brought Matthew Goss - a stage winner and second overall last year - to the party. As you likely remember, Goss also won a little race called Milan-San Remo last year. Robbie McEwen has won numerous stages at the TDU and comes in to share the role of road captain with Stuart O'Grady, a two time overall winner with impressive palmares in both spring classics and grand tour stages. Durbridge, or "Durbo the Turbo," is taking the slot of Jack Bobridge, who crashed hard last week. Durbridge is no slouch of a replacement, though, as he is the reigning U23 World Champion and Australian Elite Champion in the time trial. Gerrans needs no introduction as a past TDU winner, especially after winning the Australian road title last week. Finally, Howard is a burgeoning sprint prodigy.
Simply put, the roster is designed to take no prisoners on any stages. Goss is a powerful sprinter, especially after a hard day in the saddle. He did win the GP Ouest-France in 2010, after all. While he may have problems contending with an impressively on-form Andrei Griepel, Goss should pick up at least one stage win. Howard, O'Grady, Meyer, McEwen, and Durbridge form an impressive leadout train. Meyer is a prolific gold medalist on the track, including the Team Pursuit world chamionship he shared with Durbridge in 2011. So, not only do you get fast, but they know how to work together already! If I were another sprint squad, I'd be scared of those two, especially when you know Leigh Howard is on the end of that train waiting to lead out Goss. In fact, the quintet of O'Grady, Durbridge, Howard, Meyer, and Goss share a combined 16 gold medals on the track at the Olympics or World Championships between them (if I did my math right), not to mention other medals and World Cup and Commonwealth Games wins...
Sprints only make up an expected five of the six stages of the TDU, however. This year's edition brings innovation in a hilltop finish atop Old Willunga Hill, often the crux point of prior editions. Willunga climbs for 3 kilometers at an average gradient of 7.6%, making it similar to many hills in the hillier spring classics and making it the likely deciding factor of this year's overall classification. If the race has an Ardennes-like climb in it, then who better to bring than an Ardennes specialist? Gerrans has proven rather good at riding up short climbs exceedingly fast, garnering numerous top-10 results in Liege-Bastogne-Liege, Fleche Wallone, and Amstel Gold. Last year, he had a personal best with a finish on the third step of the podium at Amstel Gold. While Gerrans may not win the WIllunga stage, he'll be in the front group. Don't forget, either, that Gerrans has a wicked little sprint too, which should enable him to garner important time bonuses in sprint finishes if needed, particularly on some of the harder ones.
Green Edge isn't taking any chances with their debut race. Their roster is bloated with talent, unified behind two riders, and on top form. They clearly aim to make an early impression in their home race. But, they will walk a thin line between success and failure. If they merely win a stages of the race or place second overall - a success by most team's standards - they run the risk of massive disappointment both internally and externally. If they can't dominate their home race they've been training harder than most other teams for, what can they do afterwards? This risk is particularly high within Australia, whose media and community could hold overzealous expectations for "their" team.
At the same time, if Green Edge is successful, they could easily be written off as logical victors and their triumph underrated. Of course they won the overall, of course they won two stages, of course... While the team's record at the TDU will become a distant memory once the true big races of the season are completed, the headlines between now and Paris Nice will preoccupy the squad all week. Caught between a rock and a hard place, one thing is certain about Green Edge in their debut race - they haven't left anything to chance.
0 recs | 42 comments
Last paragraph is really good...
…they may have a bit of an expectations problem here, though I think the real question is going to be figuring out what it’s reasonable to expect of them as the season goes on.
Ed K - January 16, 2012
Expectations.
I am guessing they will end in the bottom 1/3 of the WT ranking. Two reasons: lack of GC material and increased bunch sprint competition
Uphill - January 16, 2012
That's one possibility, but I'd really like to see a careful analysis of this 'sprint competition.'
As dansel shows up there, that’s one pretty massive sprint train they have going.
Ed K - January 16, 2012
perhaps it does require a bit more analysis, but to me
the situation is really very simple.
There are now a deeper field of sprint talent who all believes they can win big races. In addition since HTC went belly up, more teams now think they can play with trains. GE is just one of the new teams thinking they can win using a train with Goss as passenger. It all boils down to more competition.
Uphill - January 16, 2012
Thanks for this. I'm so scared of being seen as pathetically nationalistic or just ridiculously naive
that I can hardly say the name. With O’Grady on the team, I was always going to be interested though. It seems that so far, so good. Nygaard and Bannan say they have a ‘what not to do’ based on experiences with Sky and LT. So far, hype appears to have been kept to a minimum. I think a lack of success this week will be seen as more significant with the people who believe you should earn pro-tour status. I agree that the team looks quite good, but McEwen is there out of sentiment rather than likelihood of winning, which is nice really.
I have my fingers crossed for the Classics and the emergence of Mitchell Docker. In the meantime, I think Greipel is in superb form, as is GHH, so we’ll see what people are saying next Sunday.
Seahorse - January 16, 2012
its ok if you seem nationalistic or niave. Your passion for Aussie cyclists is fun.
I look forward to your unbridled support for them in the live threads this year.
ZoeRochelle - January 16, 2012
Thanks Zoe...I'm trying to be super cool here. I must admit, I'm not big on flag waving so it's all a bit embarrassing.
And of course my heart still belongs to Klodi ;)
Seahorse - January 16, 2012
+1
Uphill - January 16, 2012
I agree about them being between rock and a hard place
Thank you for the story. I wish there was more live video for the race.
ZoeRochelle - January 16, 2012
So
Wassup with the no race video for the first few days?
tehGrindCrusher - January 16, 2012
It was ever thus :(
Seahorse - January 16, 2012
Really?
For some reason I don’t recall it being that way.
Man, 2011 was so long ago.
tehGrindCrusher - January 16, 2012
Yep, the actual TDU is getting the same coverage as last year
Yet people here are very anti it already this year. You could even say the coverage is an improvement.
Quality…that’s another story…
RollinRollinRolland - January 16, 2012
I wonder what Rojas can do here
On a good day he can hang on on these climbs and he’ll probably gain some seconds in the sprints
broerie - January 16, 2012
Flatty says he can win...
Seahorse - January 16, 2012
ah, must have missed that
broerie - January 16, 2012
Even just 1 stage win at the TdU will do the GE team very good.
That will set the tone from the start and the team can build and improve from there.
Uphill - January 16, 2012
I think in many ways, their strong showing at the Nationals served that purpose.
Seahorse - January 16, 2012
Don't think so. Lack of competition.
Gotta perform in the WT race on home ground. Thats the first real test.
Uphill - January 16, 2012
Of course for others...here though, they've struck the first blow in the hearts and mind stakes.
Seahorse - January 16, 2012
ok, but I would still put money on GE's riders stepping up and delivering a result.
Uphill - January 16, 2012
To the Aussie mainstream there are 2 races that matter
The Tour Down Under and the Tour De France. Giro? Its a training race for the Tour. Monuments? Sure, they count towards the rankings but they aren’t proper stage races.
Sure the dedicated cycling fans here knows the full season, but dedicated cycling fans won’t be enough to get them a sponsor. Ryan says he’ll bankroll the team, but Becca said the same with Leopard.
attackagain! - January 16, 2012
You're from Adelaide? Because I'd say Paris-Roubaix beats TDU every time. I love the TDU but that it's one of two races that matter?
is not even close. In fact, given Australians’ love of winning in ANY sport, I don’t think which race matters much…outside the TdF that is.
Seahorse - January 16, 2012
I think he is right Seahorse
We love an Aussie winning but what are the two biggest races for Joe Ocker? TDF and TDU. P-R coverage is still running on the coat-tails of O-Grady. Goss winning MSR is great but it wont mean people start caring for MSR, all it means is they care an Aussie won an European race.
RollinRollinRolland - January 16, 2012
I'm talking in terms of Joe Ocker
For me I’d say probably the Giro, Tour, Roubaix, Flanders, Liege, M-S, Lombardia, Vuelta in that order. TDU is above the Tour of Beijing but underneath the Tour of Poland.
But if Green Edge are to convince an Aussie sponsor to get on board, they need the attention of the general public, not just us daylight deprived internet forum people. And unfortunately the general public in AU still only know George Hincapie as Lance’s road captain in the tour, not for his results in Roubaix and Flanders. SBS have been trying to educate Joe and the ABC aren’t bad either but we aren’t exactly Belgium yet.
attackagain! - January 16, 2012
Fair enough guys! I bow to your wisdom :) And I'm sort of glad about not being Belgium...too cold.
Seahorse - January 16, 2012
Brr, -5 °C this morning
tgsgirl - January 16, 2012
I rest my case ;)
Seahorse - January 16, 2012
Yeah! GE is under pressure to perform in their first race, for sure.
Katusha didn’t have that pressure in their first season.
First, they stated that their team is a long project, without expectation of a big Victories, at least for the first couple of seasons.
And secondly, Katusha ( and Astana ) only WT Teams, witch has no any significant races runs on their home turf. And that took pressure from them to perform on the front of home crowd.
holmovka - January 16, 2012
Vino would be ruined if there was a top home race.
Uphill - January 16, 2012
HeHe! Vino will survive a home race, but I can’t say the same about half of the Peloton.
Race in Kazakhstan? Are you fan of the horror movies?
holmovka - January 16, 2012
Are we talking Hostel?
Or a Bela Lugosi vampire movie?
straw dog - January 16, 2012
Deliverance meats Count Dracula!
holmovka - January 16, 2012
GE has frequently said the same thing about the long term project. I hope that's not an omen.
Seahorse - January 16, 2012
Hard to think in long terms, when you have to attract a sponsor or sponsors.
holmovka - January 16, 2012
3 years in the current climate is not long term?
RollinRollinRolland - January 16, 2012
Oh, yes it is!
holmovka - January 16, 2012
i think a lot of teams would enjoy the security of having the knowledge that they can stay in the game for 3 years
and focus on the sporting aspect first while allowing other people in the team to go about finding a proper sponsor.
Unless of course Gerry Ryan does a LeopardTrek but he doesn’t really strike me as that kind of guy.
RollinRollinRolland - January 16, 2012
Geox was there for a long run also.
Just saying.
holmovka - January 16, 2012
Fortunately, Gerry Ryan really is a very long haul sort of guy when it comes to cycling.
Seahorse - January 16, 2012
I really, really hope so!
And I wish the GE and all their fans, the season to remember!
holmovka - January 16, 2012
According to their website, Greenedge are riding Het Volk on Feb 25th.
I wish them luck with that. Then I expect their GC guys will build form for the Vuelta in late April, while the classics team will focus on the Super Prestige Pernod.
straw dog - January 16, 2012
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